Super Nova vs Auda Riga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Latvian Virsliga Super Nova - Auda Riga
11/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Super Nova - Auda Riga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Super Nova
16.5%
Draw
23.2%
Auda Riga
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.6% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 24.9% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.
  • Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Super Nova - Auda Riga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.55
    (4.13)
    3.94
    (3.6)
    1.52
    (1.77)
    9.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Super Nova - Auda Riga?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Auda is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Auda Riga were as follows:
    02.09.2023 Auda Riga - Super Nova 1:0
    25.06.2023 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:5
    02.05.2023 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:2
    11.03.2023 Auda Riga - Super Nova 2:0
    18.09.2022 Auda Riga - Super Nova 3:0
    Latest results of Super Nova
    06.05.2025 Metta LU - Super Nova 0:2
    01.05.2025 Super Nova - Riga 1:5
    25.04.2025 Liepāja - Super Nova 2:2
    20.04.2025 Super Nova - Rīgas FS 1:2
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    05.05.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3
    01.05.2025 Rīgas FS - Auda Riga 1:0
    24.04.2025 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 2:0
    18.04.2025 Auda Riga - Tukums 2000 2:0
    13.04.2025 Metta LU - Auda Riga 0:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RFS1181220:91125
    2Riga FC1173127:101724
    3Auda1161416:10619
    4BFC Daugavpils1152418:15317
    5Jelgava1144313:11216
    6FK Liepaja1143422:23-115
    7Metta1132611:22-1111
    8Super Nova1124515:18-310
    9Grobina1122710:24-148
    10Tukums 2000111469:19-107

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

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