Result
3:1
15/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (142/227) | 79% (430/547) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (142/227) | 79% (430/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/71) | 46% (37/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (37/80) | 68% (117/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (8/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Nguena K. ⚽, Varslavans R. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Yuzvak A. ⚽, Ullman O. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Holoubek D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Peilans M. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 57', Ogunji A. ↓, Hrvoj T. ↑,
- 58', Promise V. ↓, Boroduska E. ↑,
- 58', Becers R. ↓, Emenike K. ↑,
- 62', Nguena K. 🟨,
- 68', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 80', Wassom K. ↓, Clemente M. ↑,
- 80', Jeudi S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 82', Veips R. 🟨,
- 88', Monteiro E. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
- 88', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Diawara B. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Rafael Pontelo (Own goal),
- 90+1', Emenike K. ↓, Campos I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
21.6% | Draw
26.2% | Auda Riga
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jelgava - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.22 ↓
(4.75) |
3.48 ↓
(3.8) |
1.75 ↑
(1.58) |
9.5%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Auda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:20. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Auda Riga?
Jelgava has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Jelgava?
Auda Riga has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Auda Riga were as follows:
30.03.2025
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
2:0
21.10.2024
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
3:0
28.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
1:3
23.05.2024
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
0:1
13.04.2024
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
0:0
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:10 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | RFS | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39:14 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Auda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Grobina | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Metta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 12 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Jelgava - Auda Riga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
