Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory
Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: King A. (Aus)
Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
69% (247/359)68% (205/303)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.60
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
69% (247/359)68% (205/303)
Long passes
35% (23/66)23% (14/61)
Passes in final third
54% (65/121)57% (54/94)
Crosses
29% (7/24)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.73
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (22/33)63% (17/27)
Duels won
7772
Clearances
2351
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.600.16
Goals prevented
-1.400.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Arzani D. 🟨,
  • 41', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
  • 44', Paulsen A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Velupillay N. , Inserra J. ,
  • 46', Valadon J. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Machach Z. , Valadon J. (A),
  • 58', Gallegos L. F. , Brimmer J. ,
  • 58', Francois M. , Moreno N. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Fornaroli B. , Valadon J. (A),
  • 63', Randall J. , Gillion L. ,
  • 65', Fornaroli B. 🟨,
  • 66', Clarismario , Reec J. ,
  • 75', Rogerson L. , Howieson C. ,
  • 75', Sakai H. , Elliot C. ,
  • 79', Pijnaker N. 🟨,
  • 83', Fornaroli B. , Vergos N. ,
  • 83', Arzani D. , Piscopo R. ,
  • 90+5', Machach Z. , Badolato A. ,

Chances of winning


Auckland FC
47%
Draw
26.6%
Melbourne Victory
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 26.1% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.5% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.54
    (3.63)
    3.58
    (3.23)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Auckland FC will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Auckland is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • Auckland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Auckland has had a series of away games.
    • Auckland could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Injury) Langerak M. (Injury) Traore A. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC 0:1
    19.04.2025 Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC 0:2
    31.12.2024 Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory 0:0
    Latest results of Auckland FC
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    spainSpainLaLiga+
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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