Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Atlético San Luis - Toluca
Result
0:1
16/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
Atlético San Luis - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.30
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
117
Passes
82% (355/433)85% (375/439)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.111.34
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
117
Touches in opposition box
1117
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
82% (355/433)85% (375/439)
Long passes
48% (25/52)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
67% (67/100)68% (56/82)
Crosses
29% (8/28)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.47
Fouls
1211
Tackles
43% (9/21)38% (8/21)
Duels won
5143
Clearances Total
1322
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.340.11
Goals prevented
0.340.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Gallardo J. , Vega A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', del Villar E. 🟨,
  • 65', Abitia D. , Klimowicz M. ,
  • 70', Helinho , Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ,
  • 71', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
  • 77', Romero F. , Angulo J. ,
  • 77', Vega A. , Herrera H. ,
  • 79', Salles-Lamonge S. , Galdames B. ,
  • 90+1', Paulinho , Morales R. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético San Luis
20.1%
Draw
22.8%
Toluca
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 26.4% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 26.1% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Atlético San Luis - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.68
    (4.33)
    4.15
    (3.55)
    1.66
    (1.81)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Toluca will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 1.
    • Recent matches Atlético San Luis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Toluca in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • In this match Toluca is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F. (Thigh Injury) Leo Bonatini (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Toluca: Briseno A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Toluca: Romero F. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:20 (average 0.9:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Toluca were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Toluca - Atlético San Luis 2:1
    19.04.2024 Atlético San Luis - Toluca 1:5
    29.10.2023 Toluca - Atlético San Luis 3:1
    26.02.2023 Toluca - Atlético San Luis 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético San Luis
    Latest results of Toluca
    12.04.2025 Atlas - Toluca 2:3
    06.04.2025 Toluca - Santos Laguna 2:1
    29.03.2025 Toluca - Pachuca 3:2
    14.03.2025 Puebla - Toluca 0:3
    08.03.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 5:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santos Laguna00000:000
    2Monterrey00000:000
    3Cruz Azul00000:000
    4Atlas00000:000
    5Atl. San Luis00000:000
    6Guadalajara Chivas00000:000
    7Necaxa00000:000
    8Pachuca00000:000
    9Toluca00000:000
    10Club America00000:000
    11Puebla00000:000
    12Tigres UANL00000:000
    13UNAM Pumas00000:000
    14Queretaro00000:000
    15Club Tijuana00000:000
    16Club Leon00000:000
    17Juarez00000:000
    18Mazatlan FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético San Luis - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
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