Atlético San Luis vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
3:1
26/02/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)
Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.68
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
819
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
47
Blocked Shots
06
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
67
Offsides
24
Fouls
76
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1519
Touches in the Opposition Box
1831
Passes
82% (344/417)86% (498/576)
Passes in the final third
63% (44/70)67% (97/144)
Crosses
67% (6/9)27% (6/22)
Tackles
60% (6/10)76% (13/17)
Clearances Total
278
Interceptions
118

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Najera R. , Macias O. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Salles-Lamonge S. , Sanabria J. (A),
  • 51', Aguila E. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Vitinho , Torres R. (A),
  • 57', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 60', Camberos H. , Cowell C. ,
  • 60', Rey L. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 66', Klimowicz M. , Leo Bonatini ,
  • 68', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
  • 68', Pulido A. , Chicharito ,
  • 72', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Leo Bonatini , Vitinho (A),
  • 75', 3 - 1, Chicharito , Alvarado R. (A),
  • 76', Mozo A. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 76', Gonzalez F. , Beltran F. ,
  • 84', Salles-Lamonge S. , Yan Phillipe ,
  • 84', Vitinho , Murillo J. ,
  • 84', Dominguez J. , Garcia M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético San Luis
25.8%
Draw
26.7%
Chivas Guadalajara
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 26.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 26.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (2.79)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    1.99
    (2.39)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Chivas Guadalajara will win! (12 of 14 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2.
    • Atlético San Luis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Guadalajara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Guzman V. (Leg Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Guadalajara to win the game is with odds 2.08.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis 0:1
    04.02.2024 Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    08.07.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis 3:1
    13.01.2023 Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara 0:0
    Latest results of Atlético San Luis
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (8)2 : 1, 2 : 3
    2Tigres UANL (4)Necaxa (5)2 : 2, 0 : 0
    3Club America (2)Pachuca (7)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Cruz Azul (3)Club Leon (6)2 : 1, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (4)
    2Club America (2)Cruz Azul (3)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
    peruPeruDisney+
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaTUDN
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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