Atlético Porcuna vs Real Jaén: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Camara J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Atlético Porcuna
13.6%

Draw
19.2%

Real Jaén
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

22.9%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

22.5%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Jaén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (5.71)	4.79 ↑ (3.98)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)	8.6% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén?

The most likely score is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Recent matches Atlético Porcuna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Jaén is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético Porcuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Jaén is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Porcuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porcuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Porcuna won against Real Jaén?

Atlético Porcuna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Atlético Porcuna?

Real Jaén has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén were as follows:

10.11.2024 Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna 2:1

05.02.2023 Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna 7:1

09.10.2022 Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén 2:0

Latest results of Atlético Porcuna

02.03.2025 Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna 6:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil 2:3 ✺

16.02.2025 Málaga City - Atlético Porcuna 0:1 ✺

02.02.2025 El Palo - Atlético Porcuna 2:2 ✺

26.01.2025 Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Jaén

09.03.2025 Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Real Jaén - El Ejido 5:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Huétor Vega - Real Jaén 2:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla 2:1 ✺

09.02.2025 CP Almería - Real Jaén 0:1 ✺

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Malaga B	34	26	5	3	76:22	54	83
2	Jaen	34	22	7	5	60:35	25	73
3	Motril	34	18	7	9	57:35	22	61
4	Torre del Mar	34	18	7	9	48:30	18	61
5	Huetor Tajar	34	17	6	11	35:28	7	57
6	Huetor Vega	34	16	9	9	49:36	13	57
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	14	12	8	53:35	18	54
8	CD Torreperogil	34	13	11	10	42:37	5	50
9	Mancha	34	13	7	14	37:39	-2	46
10	Marbelli	34	11	9	14	32:42	-10	42
11	El Palo	34	10	11	13	36:49	-13	41
12	Torredonjimeno	34	10	10	14	43:44	-1	40
13	Arenas Armilla	34	9	11	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Martos	34	11	5	18	28:41	-13	38
15	Atletico de Porcuna	34	9	9	16	45:55	-10	36
16	El Ejido	34	7	6	21	36:68	-32	27
17	CP Almeria	34	7	2	25	35:75	-40	23
18	Malaga City	34	5	6	23	31:63	-32	21

      Promotion
      Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: