Result
3:0
02/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/597) | 73% (141/194) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (527/597) | 73% (141/194) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (32/51) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (125/160) | 56% (32/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Hinestroza M. ⚽, Roman A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 60', Recoba J. 🟨,
- 60', Calione P. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 61', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 74', Viveros K. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 74', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 78', Herazo D. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 85', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 85', Recoba J. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
- 85', Hinestroza M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 86', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Arias J. J. ↑,
- 86', Morelos A. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 88', Gil Mosquera F. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
57.8% | Draw
24.6% | Nacional Montevideo
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.9) |
3.85 ↑
(3.5) |
5.31 ↑
(3.9) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Atlético Nacional will win! (8 of 9 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Nacional Montevideo?
Atlético Nacional has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Atlético Nacional?
Nacional Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. De Chile | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Fortaleza ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Internacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bahia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Penarol ✔ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo ✔ | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Libertad Asuncion is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Racing Club is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Fortaleza is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Penarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
SA Bulo Bulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
