Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlético Morelia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.6%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Morelia
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 26.9% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.4% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tepatitlán de Morelos's performance.
  • Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.3)
    3.58
    (3.44)
    3.24
    (2.81)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tepatitlán will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 3:1
    17.08.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1
    04.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    02.11.2023 Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    02.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero862014:8620
    2Cancun861113:21119
    3Atlante851218:81016
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos935116:9714
    5Irapuato842213:10314
    6Atletico La Paz833217:14312
    7Tlaxcala933311:16-512
    8Tapatio932413:11211
    9Venados932422:24-211
    10Atl. Morelia832311:15-411
    11Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    12Leones Negros823312:1209
    13Correcaminos913513:23-106
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca811610:19-94
    15Dorados de Sinaloa91086:18-123

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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