Atlético Morelia vs Tapatío: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético Morelia - Tapatío
Result
0:0
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
Atlético Morelia - Tapatío - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlético Morelia - Tapatío live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
105
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
1911
Corner Kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+4', Aguayo S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Castro A. , Egurrola L. ,
  • 59', Figueroa F. , Islas O. ,
  • 64', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 73', Palma A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 73', Martinez J. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 75', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Uribe J. ,
  • 75', Aguayo S. , Latorre D. ,
  • 82', Flores A. , del Campo R. ,
  • 86', Egurrola L. , Torres C. ,
  • 88', Moragrega V. , Villaseca D. ,
  • 90+3', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Villaseca D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
51.9%
Draw
24.7%
Tapatío
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.8% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 21.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Atlético Morelia - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.75)
    3.79
    (3.76)
    3.99
    (4.25)
    7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Tapatío?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Morelia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 0.
    • Atlético Morelia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tapatío is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Atlético Morelia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Tapatío were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Tapatío - Atlético Morelia 1:0
    02.08.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tapatío 1:4
    17.02.2024 Tapatío - Atlético Morelia 0:0
    17.09.2023 Atlético Morelia - Tapatío 0:0
    20.05.2023 Tapatío - Atlético Morelia 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Tapatío
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    13.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 1:0
    06.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Tapatío 2:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun1072117:41323
    2Tampico Madero1064017:11622
    3Atlante1062221:81320
    4Irapuato1053217:11618
    5Tepatitlan de Morelos1145219:12717
    6Zacatecas Mineros1035218:16214
    7Venados1042423:24-114
    8Atletico La Paz1034320:19113
    9Tlaxcala1134412:20-813
    10Tapatio1133513:12112
    11Leones Negros1033414:14012
    12Atl. Morelia1033413:18-512
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca1022612:20-88
    14Correcaminos1013614:27-136
    15Dorados de Sinaloa111196:20-144

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Morelia - Tapatío?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
    usaUsaAym Sports
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan