Atlético Morelia vs Dorados: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético Morelia - Dorados
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Gil J. (Mex)
Atlético Morelia - Dorados - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
111
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
144
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
111
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Ramirez A. 🟨,
  • 21', Higuera C. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Flores A. ,
  • 29', Rochester L. 🟨,
  • 42', Garcia L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rochester L. , Martinez D. ,
  • 46', Sanchez E. , Flores A. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Garcia L. ,
  • 51', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 53', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 55', Galicia C. 🟨,
  • 55', Alvarez J. , Yanez S. ,
  • 72', Garcia L. , Vazquez D. ,
  • 78', Islas O. , Nambo M. ,
  • 78', Martinez J. , del Campo R. ,
  • 78', Ramirez A. , Parra R. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Figueroa F. ,
  • 90+1', Flores A. , Gutierrez A. ,
  • 90+1', Figueroa B. , Sandoval L. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
66.5%
Draw
19.9%
Dorados
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 20.5% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 19.6% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Morelia - Dorados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.41)
    4.66
    (4.52)
    6.82
    (6.76)
    8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Atlético Morelia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dorados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Morelia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Dorados were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Dorados - Atlético Morelia 5:1
    31.08.2024 Atlético Morelia - Dorados 1:1
    06.03.2024 Dorados - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    24.08.2023 Atlético Morelia - Dorados 4:0
    26.03.2023 Dorados - Atlético Morelia 0:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Dorados
    05.09.2025 Dorados - Irapuato 0:1
    29.08.2025 Atlético La Paz - Dorados 3:1
    16.08.2025 Dorados - Venados 1:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero862014:8620
    2Cancun861113:21119
    3Atlante851218:81016
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos935116:9714
    5Irapuato842213:10314
    6Atletico La Paz833217:14312
    7Tlaxcala933311:16-512
    8Tapatio932413:11211
    9Venados932422:24-211
    10Atl. Morelia832311:15-411
    11Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    12Leones Negros823312:1209
    13Correcaminos913513:23-106
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca811610:19-94
    15Dorados de Sinaloa91086:18-123

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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