Result
1:1
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 6', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 42', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 64', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 67', Alexsander 🟨,
- 71', Gabriel Menino ↓, Biel ↑,
- 71', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 80', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 88', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 89', Paulo Henrique ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 90+4', Vegetti P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
36% | Draw
31.7% | Atlético Mineiro
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.26) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
2.95 ↓
(3.4) |
5.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Piton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Reinier
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
04.12.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
19.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
02.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
20.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47:10 | 37 | 50 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 39:23 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 6 | Bahia | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Ceara | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 | Vasco | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
