Atlético Mineiro vs Red Bull Bragantino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 18
Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.72
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
294
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
90
Passes
87% (412/472)76% (261/343)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.800.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.081.67
Total shots
294
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
203
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
4411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
87% (412/472)76% (261/343)
Long passes
58% (36/62)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
82% (125/152)48% (39/81)
Crosses
33% (7/21)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.34
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (8/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3140
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.672.08
Goals prevented
0.670.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Igor Gomes , Biel (A),
  • 8', Sant'Anna A. , Hurtado A. ,
  • 18', Vinicinho , Laquintana I. ,
  • 36', Eduardo Sasha 🟥,
  • 39', Eric Ramires 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 46', Eric Ramires , Fabinho ,
  • 62', Alexsander , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 62', Biel , Hulk ,
  • 67', Cuello , Junior Santos ,
  • 67', Rony , Bernard ,
  • 67', Hurtado A. , Caue ,
  • 67', Lucas Barbosa , Praxedes ,
  • 74', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Laquintana I. , Caue (A),
  • 80', Igor Gomes , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Natanael , Joao Marcelo (A),
  • 89', Nathan Mendes 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
53%
Draw
26.9%
Red Bull Bragantino
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 29.2% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 28.5% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Mineiro's performance.
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.07)
    3.64
    (3.23)
    4.98
    (3.76)
    2.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (81 of 92 users predict this - 88.04%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.41%94.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Mineiro will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
    • In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • RB Bragantino has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Muscle Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fabricio (Thigh Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Guilherme (Injury) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Matheus Fernandes (Calf Injury) Mosquera H. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Renzo Saravia (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino 3:0
    11.06.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro 1:2
    25.10.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro 1:2
    10.06.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    07.09.2022 Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ20144244:93546
    2Palmeiras19133327:151242
    3Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria21310818:32-1419
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
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