Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense
Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 8
Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.330.72
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
84% (386/457)81% (317/390)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.330.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.270.74
Total shots
145
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
196
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
715
Passes
84% (386/457)81% (317/390)
Long passes
30% (12/40)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
74% (89/120)58% (45/77)
Crosses
33% (9/27)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.52
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
157
Tackles
71% (15/21)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5141
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.742.27
Goals prevented
-1.26-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
  • 45+1', Rubens 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 52', Cuello 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Canobbio A. ,
  • 58', Fausto Vera , Bernard ,
  • 67', Nonato 🟨,
  • 70', Natanael , Junior Santos ,
  • 72', Nonato , Hercules ,
  • 72', Everaldo , Serna K. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Rubens , Alonso J. (A),
  • 79', Rony , Igor Gomes ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Junior Santos ,
  • 86', Bernal F. , Renato Augusto ,
  • 86', Canobbio A. , Keno ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Serna K. , Martinelli (A),
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Igor Gomes , Hulk (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
48.9%
Draw
29.3%
Fluminense
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 27.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 28.3% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Atlético Mineiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.94)
    3.25
    (3.4)
    4.32
    (4.07)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Gabriel Menino (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Lyanco (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G. (Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Knee Injury) Thiago Silva (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Dudu (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense were as follows:
    25.09.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 2:0
    18.09.2024 Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    24.08.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 0:2
    04.05.2024 Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro 2:2
    28.10.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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