Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro
04/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fluminense
47.8%
Draw
29.7%
Atlético Mineiro
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 29.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.81)
    3.16
    (3.52)
    4.2
    (4.63)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 3:2
    25.09.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 2:0
    18.09.2024 Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    24.08.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 0:2
    04.05.2024 Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro 2:2
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.10.2025 Sport Recife - Fluminense 2:2
    28.09.2025 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    23.09.2025 Fluminense - Lanús 1:1
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ26127737:211643
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    8Fluminense24105930:31-135
    9Bragantino26961132:38-633
    10Gremio2689928:32-433
    11Ceara25871023:24-131
    12Vasco26861238:38030
    13Corinthians26791026:32-630
    14Atletico-MG2478922:26-429
    15Internacional25781030:38-829
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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