Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Atlético Mineiro
12/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Bahia - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Bahia
41.7%
Draw
31.8%
Atlético Mineiro
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 32% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 33.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Bahia aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Bahia - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.37)
    3
    (2.98)
    3.62
    (3.46)
    4.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • Bahia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.
    • Bahia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Bahia - Atlético Mineiro 3:0
    02.06.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 1:1
    06.12.2023 Bahia - Atlético Mineiro 4:1
    13.08.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    04.06.2025 Confiança - Bahia 2:0
    31.05.2025 Bahia - São Paulo 2:1
    28.05.2025 Internacional RS - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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