Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Atlético Madrid - Villarreal
Result
1:1
25/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Atlético Madrid - Villarreal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.542.17
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
2011
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
88
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
56
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
00
Fouls
1014
Throw-ins
1919
Touches in the Opposition Box
3525
Passes
88% (513/586)81% (325/399)
Passes in the final third
78% (152/194)70% (61/87)
Crosses
25% (5/20)35% (7/20)
Tackles
50% (7/14)48% (10/21)
Clearances Total
1425
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Moreno G. (Pen),
  • 34', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simeone G. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
  • 46', Mandava R. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
  • 46', Gallagher C. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
  • 53', de Paul R. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Lino S. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
  • 59', Correa A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 62', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 64', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 68', Pino Y. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
  • 68', Barry T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
  • 71', Koke ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
  • 76', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
  • 90', Baena A. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid 48.4%Draw 26.9%Villarreal 24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Atlético Madrid 62.2%Draw 21.7%Villarreal 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Atlético Madrid 63.9%Draw 21.1%Villarreal 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.98 ↑
(1.54)		 3.55 ↓
(4.42)		 3.88 ↓
(5.96)		 4.6%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
    • Atlético is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Galan J. (Yellow Cards) Lenglet C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Parejo D. (Foot Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Atlético to win the game is with odds 1.76.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
    19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    21.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2025 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    15.01.2025 Elche - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    12.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Marbella - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Villarreal
    20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0 ✺
    13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5 ✺
    18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺
    15.12.2024 Villarreal - Betis 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 33244589:325776
    2Real Madrid ✔ 33226566:313572
    3Atl. Madrid33199556:272966
    4Ath Bilbao331612550:262460
    5Villarreal331510856:451155
    6Betis33159950:41954
    7Celta Vigo331371350:49146
    8Osasuna331014940:46-644
    9Mallorca331281331:38-744
    10Real Sociedad331261532:37-542
    11Rayo Vallecano3310111235:42-741
    12Getafe331091431:30139
    13Espanyol331091435:42-739
    14Valencia339121237:49-1239
    15Sevilla339101435:44-937
    16Girona33981640:52-1235
    17Alaves338101535:46-1134
    18Las Palmas33881738:53-1532
    19Leganes336121530:49-1930
    20Valladolid ✔ 33442524:81-5716

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 5
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports
    vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
    worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App
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