Result
1:1
25/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (513/586) | 81% (325/399) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (152/194) | 70% (61/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 35% (7/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 48% (10/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Moreno G. (Pen),
- 34', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simeone G. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
- 46', Mandava R. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
- 46', Gallagher C. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
- 53', de Paul R. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Lino S. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
- 59', Correa A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
- 62', Le Normand R. 🟨,
- 64', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 68', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 68', Pino Y. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
- 68', Barry T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
- 71', Koke ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
- 76', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
- 90', Baena A. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid
48.4% | Draw
26.9% | Villarreal
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+15.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.54) |
3.55 ↓
(4.42) |
3.88 ↓
(5.96) |
4.6%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers) Network on : ESPN Deportes
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 45 - 72.6%). Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 61.5% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
- Atlético is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Atlético is a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético: Galan J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lenglet C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I.
(Knee Injury)
Parejo D.
(Foot Injury)
Pedraza A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético: Sorloth A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Atlético to win the game is with odds 1.76.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Villarreal?
Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Atlético Madrid?
Villarreal has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
19.08.2024
Villarreal
-
Atlético Madrid
2:2
01.04.2024
Villarreal
-
Atlético Madrid
1:2
12.11.2023
Atlético Madrid
-
Villarreal
3:1
04.06.2023
Villarreal
-
Atlético Madrid
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Villarreal
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ath Bilbao | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Getafe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Elche | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Betis | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Valencia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Alaves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | R. Oviedo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Levante | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP |
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 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
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 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean |
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 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+ |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player |
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 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports |
 Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online |
 World | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App |
