Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Atlético Madrid - Villarreal
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 4
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
Atlético Madrid - Villarreal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.98
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
89% (560/626)86% (340/396)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.520.25
Total shots
88
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
89% (560/626)86% (340/396)
Long passes
65% (34/52)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
79% (132/167)83% (98/118)
Crosses
25% (4/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.52
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1215
Tackles
33% (4/12)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
1615
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.251.52
Goals prevented
0.25-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Barrios P. , Alvarez J. (A),
  • 24', Parejo D. 🟨,
  • 32', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez J. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Gonzalez N. , Llorente M. (A),
  • 64', Pepe N. , Perez A. ,
  • 64', Moleiro A. , Comesana S. ,
  • 64', Partey T. , Gueye P. ,
  • 65', Veiga R. 🟨,
  • 73', Ruggeri M. 🟨,
  • 76', Gonzalez N. , Gallagher C. ,
  • 76', Ruggeri M. , Hancko D. ,
  • 77', Le Normand R. , Pubill M. ,
  • 79', Cardona S. , Pedraza A. ,
  • 79', Mikautadze G. , Oluwaseyi T. ,
  • 83', Hancko D. , Galan J. ,
  • 84', Mourino S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Pedraza A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
53.7%
Draw
24.9%
Villarreal
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 27.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.94)
    3.83
    (3.53)
    4.46
    (4.13)
    4.4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Villarreal will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 46.1%75.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.
    • Atlético has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villarreal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 1:1
    19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Villarreal
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1
    24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0
    15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0
    10.08.2025 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2
    06.08.2025 Arsenal - Villarreal 2:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid660014:31118
    2Barcelona541016:31313
    3Villarreal641112:5713
    4Espanyol632110:9111
    5Elche62408:5310
    6Ath Bilbao63127:7010
    7Getafe63127:8-110
    8Atl. Madrid62319:729
    9Betis62319:729
    10Alaves62226:608
    11Valencia62228:10-28
    12Sevilla621310:1007
    13Osasuna62135:507
    14Rayo Vallecano61237:9-25
    15Celta Vigo60515:7-25
    16Real Sociedad61236:9-35
    17Levante611410:13-34
    18R. Oviedo51041:8-73
    19Mallorca60245:11-62
    20Girona60243:16-132

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
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    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
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    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 4 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
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    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
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    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
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    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
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    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
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    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
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    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
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    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
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