Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	0.54
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
68% (183/269)	82% (404/490)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	0.78
Total shots
8	9
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
0	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
14	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
68% (183/269)	82% (404/490)
Long passes
32% (20/63)	56% (40/71)
Passes in final third
54% (68/127)	67% (66/99)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.59
Throw-ins
28	25
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
46% (11/24)	67% (20/30)
Duels won
51	82
Clearances
34	35
Interceptions
8	1
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.78	0.37
Goals prevented
0.78	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Guevara A. 🟨,
41', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
42', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Mourino S. 🟨,
59', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
60', Simeone G. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
63', Blanco A. 🟨,
67', de Paul R. ↓, Koke ↑,
72', Guevara A. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
72', Guridi J. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
72', Barrios P. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
72', Gallagher C. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
90', Alena C. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
25.2%

Draw
30%

Atlético Madrid
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

29.8%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

30.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	4% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Atlético will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 51.4% – 80.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Atlético Madrid?

Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Deportivo Alavés?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

23.11.2024 Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 2:1

21.04.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 2:0

29.10.2023 Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 2:1

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

23.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valladolid 4:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online