Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.30
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
91% (659/725)87% (436/501)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.16
Total shots
186
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
107
Passes
91% (659/725)87% (436/501)
Long passes
53% (17/32)62% (29/47)
Passes in final third
86% (260/301)80% (99/123)
Crosses
27% (6/22)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.530.63
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
710
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.161.48
Goals prevented
0.160.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Starfelt C. (Own goal), Barrios P. (A),
  • 25', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 40', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Griezmann A. , Galan J. ,
  • 55', Beltran F. , Alvarez H. ,
  • 63', Jutgla F. , Aspas I. ,
  • 63', Swedberg W. , Zaragoza B. ,
  • 65', Iglesias B. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Aspas I. ,
  • 76', Galan J. , Baena A. ,
  • 77', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 78', Baena A. 🟨,
  • 81', Alvarez J. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 82', Simeone G. , Molina N. ,
  • 84', Carreira S. , Moriba I. ,
  • 84', Iglesias B. , Duran P. ,

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
20.4%
Draw
25.1%
Atlético Madrid
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 25.5% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 25.3% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (3.76)
    3.83
    (3.71)
    1.77
    (1.92)
    3.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Atlético (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (98 of 112 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.38%93.63%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 0.
    • Celta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Lago Y. (Inactive) Ristic M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:37. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    26.09.2024 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    12.05.2024 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:0
    21.10.2023 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:3
    12.02.2023 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    02.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1
    28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    bangladeshBangladeshBegin
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    madagascarMadagascarUpTV
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
    swedenSwedenTV12, TV4 Play
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15
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