Result
4:1
21/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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60% | 40% |
Goal Attempts |
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15 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
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8 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 1, Escoto A. ⚽,
- 40', 3 - 1, Alvarez D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Vazquez I. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
- 57', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Zurita Jimenez U. ↑,
- 61', Escoto A. 🟨,
- 64', Escoto A. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 67', Saavedra J. 🟨,
- 69', Hernandez E. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 69', Jaimes U. ↓, Cota A. ↑,
- 70', Tamay A. ↓, Cardona U. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez D. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 74', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Lorona L. ⚽,
- 80', Saavedra J. ↓, Gonzalez Mendivil J. E. ↑,
- 80', Aguilar M. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 81', Soto A. 🟨,
- 83', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pastrana E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos 64.5% | Draw 21.1% | Atlético La Paz 14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tepatitlán de Morelos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.36) |
4.39 ↓ (4.78) |
6.38 ↓ (7.2) |
8.2% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Tepatitlán de Morelos will win! (7 of 7 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Atlético La Paz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Tepatitlán is absolute favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 3.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
04.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:5
23.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
05.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:0
15.01.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Leones Negros (1) | Tepatitlan de Morelos (8) | 2 : 1, 1 : 2 |
2 | Atlante (2) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
3 | Zacatecas Mineros (3) | Venados (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
4 | Celaya (4) | Tampico Madero (5) | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | Leones Negros (1) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
2 | Zacatecas Mineros (3) | Tampico Madero (5) | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final1 | Leones Negros (1) | Tampico Madero (5) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |