Tapatío vs Atlético La Paz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Akron (Zapopan).

: Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 1
Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
13	17
Shots on target
6	4
Corner Kicks
4	9
Yellow Cards
3	4
Total shots
13	17
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	13
Corner Kicks
4	9
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Torres H. 🟨,
14', Barragan M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Sandoval S. ⚽,
23', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Moragrega V. ⚽, Sandoval S. (A),
25', Jimenez L. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
42', Mendez F. 🟨,
43', Moragrega V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Hernandez D. ↓, Illescas F. ↑,
65', Bass A. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
65', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
68', Sandoval S. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
68', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
85', Ledesma L. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
85', Moragrega V. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
85', Alvarez D. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
85', Yanez J. ↓, Chiu L. ↑,
85', Illescas F. 🟨,
89', Delgadillo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Tapatío
53.9%

Draw
24.3%

Atlético La Paz
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.3%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético La Paz's recent form is better than expected.

Tapatío - Atlético La Paz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.48)	3.81 ↓ (4.33)	4.25 ↓ (5.7)	8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
In this match, Tapatío is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Atlético La Paz?

Tapatío has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tapatío?

Atlético La Paz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Atlético La Paz were as follows:

28.02.2025 Atlético La Paz - Tapatío 4:1

15.09.2024 Tapatío - Atlético La Paz 1:0

01.02.2024 Tapatío - Atlético La Paz 0:2

06.08.2023 Atlético La Paz - Tapatío 2:2

29.01.2023 Tapatío - Atlético La Paz 2:0

Latest results of Tapatío

07.06.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío 1:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Celaya - Tapatío 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 4:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético La Paz

19.04.2025 Cancún - Atlético La Paz 4:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Atlético La Paz - Dorados 0:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz 2:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG 3:1 ✺

21.03.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz 4:1 ✺

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampico Madero	8	6	2	0	14:8	6	20
2	Cancun	8	6	1	1	13:2	11	19
3	Atlante	8	5	1	2	18:8	10	16
4	Tepatitlan de Morelos	9	3	5	1	16:9	7	14
5	Irapuato	8	4	2	2	13:10	3	14
6	Atletico La Paz	8	3	3	2	17:14	3	12
7	Tlaxcala	9	3	3	3	11:16	-5	12
8	Tapatio	9	3	2	4	13:11	2	11
9	Venados	9	3	2	4	22:24	-2	11
10	Atl. Morelia	8	3	2	3	11:15	-4	11
11	Zacatecas Mineros	8	2	4	2	14:14	0	10
12	Leones Negros	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
13	Correcaminos	9	1	3	5	13:23	-10	6
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4
15	Dorados de Sinaloa	9	1	0	8	6:18	-12	3

Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Tapatío - Atlético La Paz?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: