Atlético Grau vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar
Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.150.22
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
82% (399/487)73% (237/325)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.150.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.24
Total shots
65
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
208
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
82% (399/487)73% (237/325)
Long passes
48% (29/61)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
62% (75/121)63% (52/83)
Crosses
31% (4/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.12
Throw-ins
2610
Fouls
1210
Tackles
82% (9/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4830
Clearances
1847
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.240.04
Goals prevented
0.240.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garro J. , de la Cruz P. ,
  • 58', Martinez T. , Quagliata N. ,
  • 58', Rodriguez G. , Cuesta B. ,
  • 66', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
  • 68', Vidales J. , D'Arrigo J. ,
  • 69', Garcia B. , Reyes J. ,
  • 73', Orzan H. 🟨,
  • 77', Bordacahar C. , Guzman L. ,
  • 77', Llontop M. , Lazo M. ,
  • 78', Bandiera N. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 86', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cuesta B. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Vilca R. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 90+4', Gonzalez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
37.9%
Draw
30.4%
FBC Melgar
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.1% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.9% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (1.96)
    3.05
    (3.48)
    2.95
    (3.78)
    7.4%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
    • Grau is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    18.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 1:1
    23.09.2024 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 0:0
    21.04.2024 Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar 1:2
    07.07.2023 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 3:0
    24.10.2022 Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1356217:16121
    4AD Tarma1363417:17021
    5Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    6FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    7Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    8Cienciano1253418:15318
    9Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    10Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    11Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II122559:15-611
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca121389:18-96
    19Binacional00000:000

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