Atlético Grau vs Escuela Municipal Binacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional
Result
3:0
24/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.290.00
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
913
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Long passes
66% (35/53)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
83% (95/114)69% (37/54)
Crosses
43% (9/21)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.38
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (10/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
1217
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.002.29
Goals prevented
0.00-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 33', Timana H. , Chavez E. ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Olivares C. , F. Rojas (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 58', Tello Y. , Torres R. ,
  • 64', Chavez E. 🟨,
  • 68', Perez C. 🟥,
  • 73', Rostaing J. , Bandiera N. ,
  • 73', Olivares C. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 79', Soto D. , Solis A. ,
  • 81', Aubert E. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 81', Flores F. , Aguinaga A. ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Herrera Joel ,
  • 85', F. Rojas , Reyes J. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
71.7%
Draw
18.4%
Escuela Municipal Binacional
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 22.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
  • Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.65)
    5.04
    (3.95)
    9.5
    (4.75)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Grau is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F. (Injury) Garro J. (Injury) de la Cruz P. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional were as follows:
    16.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 2:1
    11.02.2023 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Atlético Grau 2:4
    28.08.2022 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Atl1491423:121128
    2U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    3Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    4FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Cusco1473425:18724
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1446423:19418
    11Grau1346319:18118
    12Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    13Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    14Cajamarca1442814:31-1714
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1315714:26-128
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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