Atlético Bucaramanga vs Unión Magdalena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena
Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.35
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (303/379)72% (210/293)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.53
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
148
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
80% (303/379)72% (210/293)
Long passes
44% (26/59)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
62% (76/122)47% (36/76)
Crosses
22% (4/18)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.40
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1610
Tackles
80% (12/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
2630
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.531.33
Goals prevented
0.530.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Urrego Hector 🟨,
  • 16', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
  • 23', Ramos N. 🟨,
  • 33', Duarte B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Duarte B. , Gutierrez A. ,
  • 46', Zarate A. , Flores L. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Gil Mosquera F. A. , Pons L. (A),
  • 69', Tello J. , Contreras J. ,
  • 75', Gil Mosquera F. A. , Moreno N. ,
  • 75', Londono K. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 77', Sarmiento J. , Martinez M. ,
  • 77', Colpa Bolano R. R. , Congo J. ,
  • 83', Mercado J. , Giraldo J. ,
  • 83', Hinojosa R. , Lastre E. ,
  • 87', Flores L. 🟨,
  • 90', Sambueza F. , Garcia J. ,
  • 90+5', De Las Salas C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mpmx36fc

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
68%
Draw
20.9%
Unión Magdalena
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 20.3% 9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 19.7% 9.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.33)
    4.43
    (4.57)
    8.54
    (9.77)
    6.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.
    • Bucaramanga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Unión Magdalena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Bucaramanga has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bucaramanga is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1
    21.10.2023 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2
    06.05.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena 3:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1593326:121430
    2Junior1584327:171028
    3Fortaleza1577120:13728
    4Ind. Medellin1483330:201027
    5Atl. Nacional1576225:17827
    6Deportes Tolima1572618:14423
    7Llaneros1564514:14022
    8Santa Fe1455416:14220
    9Dep. Cali1555520:21-120
    10Alianza1555519:20-120
    11Once Caldas1554618:21-319
    12Pereira1546515:16-118
    13Aguilas1546520:22-218
    14America De Cali1545614:15-117
    15Millonarios1552818:23-517
    16Envigado1537513:15-216
    17U. Magdalena1543817:25-815
    18Dep. Pasto1526717:23-612
    19Chico1526711:23-1212
    20La Equidad152589:22-1311

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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