Atlético Bucaramanga vs Independiente Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.16
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (351/412)77% (239/310)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.12
Total shots
132
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
50
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
256
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
85% (351/412)77% (239/310)
Long passes
56% (25/45)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
73% (94/128)56% (35/62)
Crosses
32% (7/22)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.21
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
812
Tackles
53% (9/17)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5533
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.121.49
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Fernandez O. , Scarpeta Silgado I. R. (A),
  • 12', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 24', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Pons L. , Londono K. (A),
  • 45+1', Mena J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Torres J. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 55', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
  • 56', Mosquera J. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 68', Zarate A. , Flores L. ,
  • 75', Murillo E. , Tamayo S. ,
  • 75', Zapata A. , Molina T. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Pons L. (Pen),
  • 85', Pons L. 🟨,
  • 87', De Las Salas C. , Henao C. ,
  • 87', Sambueza F. , Romana C. ,
  • 87', Londono K. , Jhon Vasquez ,
  • 88', Angulo J. , Palacios M. ,
  • 90', Meli M. , Balanta M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mrtdycuu

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
45.9%
Draw
30.3%
Independiente Santa Fe
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 29.6% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.93)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    3.91
    (4)
    6.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
    • In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santa Fe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bucaramanga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    19.03.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1
    28.08.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe 3:1
    07.08.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    15.06.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga 3:3
    08.06.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior852116:10617
    2Ind. Medellin851213:9416
    3Deportes Tolima85129:5416
    4Fortaleza835012:8414
    5Llaneros84229:5414
    6Atl. Nacional733113:7612
    7Pereira83329:8112
    8Santa Fe83328:8012
    9Envigado82428:8010
    10Dep. Cali723210:12-29
    11La Equidad82336:9-39
    12Alianza82338:12-49
    13U. Magdalena82248:14-68
    14Bucaramanga52129:817
    15Aguilas71428:807
    16Chico71336:9-36
    17Dep. Pasto61238:10-25
    18America De Cali51134:6-24
    19Millonarios71158:11-34
    20Once Caldas70346:11-53

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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