Alianza Valledupar vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
1:2
23/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.67
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1014
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
67
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1214
Offsides
11
Fouls
1412
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
1915
Touches in the Opposition Box
1016
Passes
74% (206/277)81% (289/359)
Passes in the final third
57% (37/65)67% (80/120)
Crosses
20% (4/20)14% (3/21)
Tackles
100% (12/12)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3020
Interceptions
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Fernandez W. ,
  • 26', Mena J. , Henao C. ,
  • 32', Londono K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Romana C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 66', Castillo J. , Perez L. ,
  • 66', Torres E. , Aponza S. ,
  • 77', Pons L. , Penaranda A. ,
  • 77', Londono K. , Jimenez M. S. ,
  • 77', Flores L. , Chavez D. ,
  • 78', Munoz J. , Pardo F. ,
  • 78', Figueroa J. , Moreno K. ,
  • 78', Martinez M. , Parra J. ,
  • 85', Parra J. 🟨,
  • 86', Jhon Vasquez , Castaneda F. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Castaneda F. , Hinestroza F. (A),
  • 89', 1 - 2, Castaneda F. , Sambueza F. (A),
  • 90', Castaneda F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sambueza F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/fzarfscw

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
35.6%
Draw
34.8%
Atlético Bucaramanga
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 31.4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 30.4% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.29)
    2.69
    (2.99)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga?
    The most likely score is 0:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 2.
    • Alianza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bucaramanga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:26 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 0:0
    14.11.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:4
    28.04.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    10.10.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    11.09.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 0:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 18105334:161835
    2Millonarios ✔ 19105426:151135
    3Junior ✔ 1997323:14934
    4America De Cali ✔ 1896325:121333
    5Santa Fe1996427:171033
    6Deportes Tolima ✔ 1896326:161033
    7Ind. Medellin1878317:9829
    8Once Caldas1783621:20127
    9Bucaramanga1975722:19326
    10Dep. Pasto1875617:17026
    11Alianza1975717:20-326
    12Pereira1867519:19025
    13Dep. Cali1959514:16-224
    14Fortaleza1955915:24-920
    15Chico1948712:27-1520
    16Envigado19531115:27-1218
    17Llaneros18521117:24-717
    18Aguilas1829713:17-415
    19La Equidad19241313:32-1910
    20U. Magdalena1708913:25-128

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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