UNAM vs Atlas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Atlas
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
UNAM - Atlas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.29
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
87% (429/491)70% (164/234)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.10
Total shots
196
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
245
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
86
Passes
87% (429/491)70% (164/234)
Long passes
51% (25/49)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
76% (112/147)35% (14/40)
Crosses
26% (8/31)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.07
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
78
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.100.75
Goals prevented
0.10-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Lozano J. 🟨,
  • 37', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', del Prete G. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 67', Medina A. , Macias J. ,
  • 74', Carrasquilla A. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 82', Bennevendo P. , Lopez R. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez D. , Orrantia C. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 90+3', Ramsey A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Aguirre G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ramirez P. , Coccaro M. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
56.7%
Draw
24.8%
Atlas
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • UNAM - Atlas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.75)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    5
    (4.5)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlas?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
    • UNAM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Duarte R. (Yellow Cards) Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E. (Muscle Injury) Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rocha A. (Red Card) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Atlas were as follows:
    26.01.2025 UNAM - Atlas 0:0
    24.08.2024 Atlas - UNAM 2:1
    14.02.2024 Atlas - UNAM 0:0
    05.11.2023 UNAM - Atlas 3:0
    05.02.2023 UNAM - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of UNAM
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    Latest results of Atlas
    24.08.2025 Atlas - Club América 2:4
    17.08.2025 Querétaro - Atlas 3:3
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    06.08.2025 Atlanta United - Atlas 4:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Monterrey1282225:19626
    4Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Club Tijuana1255223:131020
    7Pachuca1262416:13320
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1252518:18017
    10UNAM Pumas1234515:19-413
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of UNAM - Atlas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
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