Atlas vs Club América: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Atlas - Club América
Result
2:4
24/08/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
Atlas - Club América - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.142.71
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
70% (134/191)89% (401/453)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.142.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.083.34
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
70% (134/191)89% (401/453)
Long passes
28% (11/40)60% (38/63)
Passes in final third
51% (27/53)75% (115/153)
Crosses
31% (4/13)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.82
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1718
Tackles
64% (7/11)90% (9/10)
Duels won
3539
Clearances
3014
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
3.342.08
Goals prevented
-0.660.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Aguirre G. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
  • 32', Espinoza D. 🟨,
  • 43', Borja C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, del Prete G. , Gonzalez D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. , Lozano J. (A),
  • 62', Rodriguez B. , Saint-Maximin A. ,
  • 62', Aguirre R. , Zuniga J. ,
  • 62', Espinoza D. , Alvarez K. ,
  • 63', Rocha A. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Fidalgo A. , Alvarez K. (A),
  • 77', Zendejas A. 🟨,
  • 78', del Prete G. , Hernandez S. ,
  • 81', Zendejas A. , Violante I. ,
  • 82', Rocha A. 🟨,
  • 87', Juarez R. , Davila V. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Saint-Maximin A. , Violante I. (A),
  • 90+3', Gustavo Ferrareis , Coccaro M. ,
  • 90+4', Violante I. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Davila V. (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 4, Davila V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlas
19.6%
Draw
24.4%
Club América
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 24.9% 54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 24.2% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Atlas - Club América Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (4.48)
    3.8
    (3.75)
    1.69
    (1.73)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlas - Club América?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). América will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.
    • Atlas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • América is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlas has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, América has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, América is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E. (Muscle Injury) Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in América: Martin H. (Muscle Injury) Naveda S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Club América were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Atlas - Club América 1:3
    17.09.2024 Club América - Atlas 3:0
    09.08.2024 Club América - Atlas 2:1
    02.03.2024 Atlas - Club América 1:5
    20.08.2023 Club América - Atlas 1:1
    Latest results of Atlas
    17.08.2025 Querétaro - Atlas 3:3
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    06.08.2025 Atlanta United - Atlas 4:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    Latest results of Club América
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey760117:9818
    2Club America752015:6917
    3Cruz Azul752015:8717
    4Tigres UANL641116:8813
    5Toluca741216:10613
    6Pachuca741211:7413
    7Club Tijuana733113:9412
    8Juarez73227:7011
    9Club Leon73138:9-110
    10UNAM Pumas72327:8-19
    11Santos Laguna72059:11-26
    12Mazatlan FC71338:10-26
    13Atl. San Luis720510:13-36
    14Atlas712412:19-75
    15Necaxa71246:13-75
    16Guadalajara Chivas61149:12-34
    17Queretaro71157:15-84
    18Puebla71156:18-124

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlas - Club América?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
    worldWorldVIX App
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