Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II
Result
2:5
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.30
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
79% (357/450)72% (215/299)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.963.54
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
3230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
79% (357/450)72% (215/299)
Long passes
32% (15/47)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
62% (84/135)61% (60/98)
Crosses
18% (2/11)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.491.52
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1717
Tackles
55% (11/20)52% (12/23)
Duels won
4160
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.541.96
Goals prevented
-1.46-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 19', Weah P. 🟨,
  • 26', Poreba D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Wesseh G. , Weah P. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 3, Weah P. , Wesseh G. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 61', Weah P. , Neri R. ,
  • 62', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 4, Mazzaferro S. , Wesseh G. (A),
  • 64', Montiel J. , Turdean R. ,
  • 64', Kanyane G. , Berg H. ,
  • 69', Shokalook J. 🟨,
  • 73', Pita S. , Suarez I. ,
  • 75', Shokalook J. , Brody W. ,
  • 75', Nagle C. , Pineda O. ,
  • 80', Armas J. , Ettinger I. ,
  • 80', Wesseh G. , Kovac A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 5, Kovac A. , Suarez I. (A),
  • 88', Neri R. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 5, Turdean R. , Fleming R. (A),

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
18.9%
Draw
21.3%
Atlanta United II
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 20.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 21.3% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire II's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+28.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-27.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.75
    (1.98)
    6.87
    (4.4)
    2.44
    (2.77)
    -31.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlanta United II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago Fire II could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II 2:0
    03.08.2023 Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II 2:1
    22.04.2023 Atlanta United II - Chicago Fire II 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    Main

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    5Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    6Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    7New York City II289241353:6135
    8Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga281354642:3653
    2Huntsville281442856:3252
    3Carolina Core288551042:4439
    4Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    5Orlando City B289421338:5537
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II286151640:7225


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC281442859:3652
    2Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    4Ventura County2811241148:5141
    5Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    6Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    7Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    3Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    4North Texas2811421146:5643
    5Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    6Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    7Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chattanooga281354642:3653
    5Huntsville281442856:3252
    6Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    7Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    8Carolina Core288551042:4439
    9Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    10Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    11Orlando City B289421338:5537
    12New York City II289241353:6135
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II286151640:7225
    15Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Town FC281442859:3652
    3Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    4Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    5Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    6North Texas2811421146:5643
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    8Ventura County2811241148:5141
    9Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    10Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    11Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    12Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    13Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133
    14Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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