Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
86% (405/473) | 80% (278/347) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 1.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.59 | 1.04 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
20 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
86% (405/473) | 80% (278/347) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (25/41) | 48% (23/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (90/133) | 60% (35/58) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (10/27) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.92 | 0.70 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (13/19) | 33% (3/9) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.04 | 2.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Moraes K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Alan Kardec ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 58', Patrick ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 65', Thayllon ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 65', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 74', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Juninho (Pen),
- 83', Raul ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 83', Giuliano ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 84', Tarik 🟨,
- 88', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 88', Tarik ↓, Joao Ramos ↑,
- 90+5', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Ramos 🟨,
- 90+9', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense 61.2% | Draw 25.4% | Ferroviária 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↑ (1.38) |
3.7 ↓ (4.25) |
6.97 ↓ (8) |
6.1% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 62.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Athletico PR (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletico Paranaense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferroviária's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ferroviária may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Red Card)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Carlao
(Red Card)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Ricardinho
(Red Card)
Wesley Pomba
(Red Card)
Ze Mario
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Maycon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Ferroviária?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletico Paranaense?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
2 | Coritiba | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
3 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Cuiaba | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Avai | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
13 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
14 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Atletico GO | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |