Result
1:1
22/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Furtado A. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (405/473) | 80% (278/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (405/473) | 80% (278/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (25/41) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (90/133) | 60% (35/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Moraes K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Alan Kardec ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 58', Patrick ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 65', Thayllon ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 65', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 74', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Juninho (Pen),
- 83', Raul ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 83', Giuliano ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 84', Tarik 🟨,
- 88', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 88', Tarik ↓, Joao Ramos ↑,
- 90+5', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Ramos 🟨,
- 90+9', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
61.2% | Draw
25.4% | Ferroviária
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.38) |
3.7 ↓
(4.25) |
6.97 ↓
(8) |
6.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 62.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Athletico PR (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletico Paranaense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferroviária's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ferroviária may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Red Card)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Carlao
(Red Card)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Ricardinho
(Red Card)
Wesley Pomba
(Red Card)
Ze Mario
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Maycon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Ferroviária?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletico Paranaense?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Remo | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 36:29 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | CRB | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36:31 | 5 | 46 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 36 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 32 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
