Criciúma vs Athletico Paranaense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense
Result
4:2
11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 21
  • Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.201.55
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
75% (255/342)73% (246/337)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.201.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.84
Total shots
197
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
75% (255/342)73% (246/337)
Long passes
57% (41/72)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
56% (62/111)50% (44/88)
Crosses
53% (10/19)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.33
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1815
Tackles
65% (11/17)79% (19/24)
Duels won
6065
Clearances
2533
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.843.84
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. (Pen),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Kaua Moraes , Zapelli B. (A),
  • 37', Benevenuto 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Rodrigo ,
  • 45+4', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Dudu Kogitzki , Luiz Fernando ,
  • 46', Benevenuto , Joao Carlos ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Nicolas (Pen),
  • 57', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 58', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 63', Kaua Moraes , Belezi ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Matheus Trindade ,
  • 69', Benavidez G. 🟨,
  • 71', Zapelli B. , Giuliano ,
  • 72', Felipinho , Leozinho ,
  • 74', Leo , Alan Kardec ,
  • 81', Jhonata Robert , Jean Carlos ,
  • 82', Nicolas , Borasi B. ,
  • 82', 4 - 2, Rodrigo , Diego Goncalves (A),
  • 83', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 86', Guilherme Lobo , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 90+3', Diego Goncalves , Sassa ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
36.2%
Draw
31.7%
Athletico Paranaense
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 28.7% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.7)
    2.95
    (3.25)
    2.94
    (2.45)
    6.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
    • Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos (Injury) Jonathan (Inactive) Juninho (Inactive) Leo Naldi (Red Card) Thales (Inactive) Yan Souto (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 2:1
    22.09.2024 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    13.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 3:1
    Latest results of Criciúma
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba26138528:161247
    2Goias26136732:25745
    3Criciuma26127733:211243
    4Chapecoense-SC26125938:271141
    5Novorizontino261010629:25440
    6Athletico-PR26116937:36139
    7Remo26912528:23539
    8Cuiaba26108831:30138
    9CRB261141128:23537
    10Vila Nova FC261061026:26036
    11Avai2699833:28536
    12Operario-PR2799929:26336
    13Atletico GO26811729:28135
    14Athletic Club26951229:34-532
    15Ferroviaria26710928:32-431
    16Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    17America MG26761326:33-727
    18Volta Redonda26691116:27-1127
    19Amazonas26591226:39-1324
    20Paysandu PA264101221:31-1022

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense?
    It is being streamed on channel
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan