Athletico Paranaense vs Criciúma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma
Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 2
Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.66
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (314/398)76% (293/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.26
Total shots
158
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2010
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
79% (314/398)76% (293/388)
Long passes
29% (16/56)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
56% (40/72)58% (59/102)
Crosses
26% (6/23)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.19
Fouls
1512
Tackles
53% (9/17)78% (7/9)
Duels won
6451
Clearances Total
2829
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.262.34
Goals prevented
-0.730.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Alan Kardec , Palacios H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 67', Alan Kardec , Renan ,
  • 67', Felipinho , Patrick ,
  • 68', Talisson , Gabriel Barros ,
  • 68', Matheus Trindade , Hudson ,
  • 68', Fellipe Mateus , Juninho ,
  • 75', Leo 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Marcelo Hermes ,
  • 78', Velasco K. , Isaac ,
  • 78', Zapelli B. , Giuliano ,
  • 82', Patrick 🟨,
  • 82', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Palacios H. ,
  • 89', Everton Morelli , Jhonata Robert ,
  • 89', Werik Popo , Neto Pessoa ,
  • 90+2', Fernando , Falcao ,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
53.3%
Draw
28%
Criciúma
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.4% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 24% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.53)
    3.33
    (3.75)
    4.99
    (5.75)
    7.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4.
    • Athletico PR is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Injury) Figueiredo T. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Guilherme Lobo (Injury) Jonathan (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Zapelli B. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.1:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    13.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 3:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Criciúma
    11.03.2025 Remo - Criciúma 1:2
    02.03.2025 Criciúma - Joinville 0:1
    25.02.2025 Operário MS - Criciúma 0:1
    22.02.2025 Avaí - Criciúma 0:3
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1483313:6727
    2Goias1382316:10626
    3Novorizontino1374217:9825
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5CRB1463514:12221
    6Cuiaba1363415:15021
    7America MG1462616:16020
    8Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    9Remo1355315:12320
    10Chapecoense-SC1361616:12419
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1346313:12118
    14Operario-PR1352616:16017
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1334611:17-613
    17Amazonas1334611:18-713
    18Athletic Club1340912:21-912
    19Volta Redonda132566:12-611
    20Paysandu PA132477:14-710

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    worldWorldDisney+
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