Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba
Result
0:1
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 14
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.91
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
915
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Long passes
47% (22/47)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)54% (37/68)
Crosses
50% (12/24)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.01
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
159
Tackles
83% (15/18)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.910.81
Goals prevented
-0.090.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Iury Castilho , Clayson ,
  • 60', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ,
  • 67', Giuliano , Zapelli B. ,
  • 68', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 75', Habraao , Leozinho ,
  • 77', Gomez S. , Wallisson ,
  • 77', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 82', Patrick , Joao Cruz ,
  • 83', Luiz Fernando , Tevis ,
  • 85', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 87', Joao Cruz 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
42.7%
Draw
33.2%
Coritiba
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 29.9% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.87)
    2.82
    (3.42)
    3.91
    (4.27)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    18.02.2024 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    01.10.2023 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    14.05.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 3:2
    05.02.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Coritiba
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1492318:11729
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1563615:14121
    7Cuiaba1463515:16-121
    8Atletico GO1556416:14221
    9America MG1462616:16020
    10Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    11Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    12Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    13Ferroviaria1446414:14018
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Botafogo SP1444612:17-516
    17Amazonas1435612:19-714
    18Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    19Paysandu PA143479:15-613
    20Athletic Club14401013:23-1012

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
    It is being streamed on channel
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