Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba
Result
0:1
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 14
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.91
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
915
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Long passes
47% (22/47)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)54% (37/68)
Crosses
50% (12/24)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.01
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
159
Tackles
83% (15/18)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.910.81
Goals prevented
-0.090.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Iury Castilho , Clayson ,
  • 60', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ,
  • 67', Giuliano , Zapelli B. ,
  • 68', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 75', Habraao , Leozinho ,
  • 77', Gomez S. , Wallisson ,
  • 77', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 82', Patrick , Joao Cruz ,
  • 83', Luiz Fernando , Tevis ,
  • 85', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 87', Joao Cruz 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
42.7%
Draw
33.2%
Coritiba
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 29.9% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.87)
    2.82
    (3.42)
    3.91
    (4.27)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    18.02.2024 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    01.10.2023 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    14.05.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 3:2
    05.02.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Coritiba
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Remo1878321:16529
    6Cuiaba1884622:21128
    7Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    8Criciuma1875622:17526
    9Avai1867521:20125
    10Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1846812:22-1018

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
    It is being streamed on channel
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