Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense
Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)
Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.41
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
85% (431/507)71% (170/239)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.17
Total shots
238
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (431/507)71% (170/239)
Long passes
47% (22/47)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
67% (104/155)56% (24/43)
Crosses
39% (11/28)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.15
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.172.61
Goals prevented
-0.641.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Renan Peixoto , Alan Kardec ,
  • 54', Luiz Fernando , Velasco K. ,
  • 54', Patrick , Giuliano ,
  • 63', Giovanni Augusto , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 63', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 67', Alan Kardec (Pen),
  • 70', Esquivel L. , Leo Derik ,
  • 76', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 84', Rafael Carvalheira , Marcinho ,
  • 84', Mailton , Everton ,
  • 85', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 85', Velasco K. 🟨,
  • 87', Mario Sergio , Dentinho ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Clar W. ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Giuliano (Pen),
  • 90+9', Everton 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
61.1%
Draw
24.8%
Chapecoense
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 22.5% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 21.7% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.46)
    3.76
    (4.17)
    6.68
    (7.01)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
    • Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chapecoense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Esquivel L. (Inactive) Habraao (Red Card) Isaac (Red Card) Leozinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Romulo (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Pedro Martins (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    04.05.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 2:1
    25.04.2025 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 1:0
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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