Result
1:3
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 1.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
78% (302/387) | 78% (258/330) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 1.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 2.20 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (302/387) | 78% (258/330) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (17/45) | 38% (21/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (52/91) | 55% (42/76) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (3/19) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.24 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
33% (5/15) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.20 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.80 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Viveros K. (Pen),
- 41', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Felipinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Marquinho (Pen),
- 73', Mendoza S. ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 73', Viveros K. ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 73', Leozinho ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 74', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 80', Carrillo R. ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 81', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 81', Wesley Dias ↓, Jhony Douglas ↑,
- 82', Felipinho ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 84', Teran C. 🟥,
- 87', Zapelli B. ↓, Belezi ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
- 90+12', Maciel L. ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 90+14', 1 - 3, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP 16.7% | Draw 30.6% | Athletico Paranaense 52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.17 ↑ (4.07) |
3.28 ↑ (3.05) |
1.89 ↓ (2.05) |
-0.4% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).
- Botafogo SP is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano
(Inactive)
Ericson
(Injury)
Gabriel Bispo
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Leo
(Inactive)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Leozinho
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Athletico Paranaense?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Botafogo SP?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
04.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Botafogo SP
1:4
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
15 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping |