Athletic Club vs Grêmio Novorizontino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
0:2
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)
Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.66
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
81% (321/398)79% (273/345)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.63
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
3410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
209
Passes
81% (321/398)79% (273/345)
Long passes
45% (23/51)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
72% (109/151)58% (45/77)
Crosses
27% (10/37)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.78
Throw-ins
3316
Fouls
920
Tackles
47% (7/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.630.24
Goals prevented
-1.370.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Douglas Pele 🟨,
  • 15', Leo Natel , Waguininho ,
  • 45', Rafael Donato , Patrick ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bruno Jose , Ruiz O. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Ruiz O. , Waguininho (A),
  • 70', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 71', Amorim , Gustavao ,
  • 71', Yuri , Alason Carioca ,
  • 77', Luis Oyama , Jean Irmer ,
  • 77', Matheus Frizzo , Marlon ,
  • 79', Neto Costa , Caick ,
  • 83', Caick 🟨,
  • 88', David Braga , Carlito Thiago ,
  • 88', Max , Andrey ,
  • 90', Waguininho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
27.4%
Draw
32.4%
Grêmio Novorizontino
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.1% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 28% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (2.45)
    2.89
    (3.15)
    2.35
    (2.75)
    6.5%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.
    • Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Ezequiel (Injury) Matheus Guilherme (Injury) Wesley Gasolina (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1593319:12730
    3Novorizontino1576218:10827
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1572619:19023
    7Chapecoense-SC1571719:15422
    8Vila Nova FC1571714:15-122
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10CRB1563615:14121
    11Atletico GO1556416:14221
    12America MG1562716:17-120
    13Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    14Operario-PR1552817:19-217
    15Criciuma1545617:16117
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA153579:15-614
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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