Athletic Club vs Avaí: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletic Club - Avaí
Result
4:0
14/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 16
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Athletic Club - Avaí - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.32
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
88% (437/499)84% (355/422)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.00
Total shots
99
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
710
Passes
88% (437/499)84% (355/422)
Long passes
56% (27/48)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
77% (100/130)63% (60/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.30
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
107
Tackles
67% (8/12)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3536
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.80
Goals prevented
0.00-2.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Max , David Braga (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, David Braga , Tavares R. (A),
  • 30', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 46', Thayllon , Leo Reis ,
  • 46', Mario Sergio , Alef Manga ,
  • 53', Railan 🟥,
  • 54', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Tavares R. ,
  • 60', Tavares R. 🟨,
  • 65', Cleber , DG ,
  • 70', Welinton Torrao , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 70', David Braga , Ezequiel ,
  • 78', Tavares R. , Alason Carioca ,
  • 79', Max , Neto Costa ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Neto Costa , Ezequiel (A),
  • 85', Marquinhos Gabriel , Hygor ,
  • 86', Sandry , Martinez F. ,
  • 90+1', Alef Manga 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
41%
Draw
31.5%
Avaí
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 31.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 31.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Athletic Club - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.5)
    3
    (2.98)
    3.33
    (3.04)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Marcos Vinicius (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury) Renan (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Latest results of Avaí
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    27.06.2025 Criciúma - Avaí 1:2
    17.06.2025 Volta Redonda - Avaí 1:1
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino2098324:17735
    4Chapecoense-SC20103728:20833
    5Cuiaba2094724:22231
    6Remo2079422:19330
    7Criciuma2085723:18529
    8Avai2078527:21629
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    12CRB2074922:21125
    13Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    14Atletico GO2059619:21-224
    15Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda2056914:23-921
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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