América Mineiro vs Athletic Club: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B América Mineiro - Athletic Club
Result
0:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 15
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
América Mineiro - Athletic Club - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.30
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (370/439)78% (293/375)
Long passes
41% (24/58)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
62% (66/107)67% (72/108)
Crosses
25% (7/28)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.67
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1411
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
3033
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.300.08
Goals prevented
0.300.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sidimar , Sandry (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Breno , Elizari F. ,
  • 51', Miqueias 🟨,
  • 60', Welinton Torrao , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 69', Miqueias , Yago Santos ,
  • 75', Yago Santos 🟨,
  • 78', Paulinho , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 81', Tavares R. , Neto Costa ,
  • 81', Rodrigo Gelado , Yuri ,
  • 82', Miguelito , Yago Souza ,
  • 83', Stenio , Jhonnatan ,
  • 84', Yuri 🟨,
  • 86', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 87', Fabricio Isidoro , Martinez F. ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
52.4%
Draw
28.3%
Athletic Club
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.9% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 25% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • América Mineiro - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.66)
    3.34
    (3.58)
    4.99
    (5.13)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, América MG is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Inactive) Breno (Injury) Fabinho (Red Card) Guilherme Pato (Inactive) Marlon (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Amorim (Yellow Cards) Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Alex Nascimento (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, América MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Athletic Club were as follows:
    07.02.2023 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    29.06.2025 Athletic Club - Remo 1:2
    23.06.2025 Goiás - Athletic Club 1:2
    09.06.2025 Amazonas - Athletic Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Athletic Club - Cuiabá 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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    It is being streamed on channel
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