Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 32
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	0.19
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
22	3
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
14	1
Passes
91% (602/660)	70% (167/238)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.02
Total shots
22	3
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
7	0
Shots inside the Box
15	2
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
14	1
Touches in opposition box
39	7
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
91% (602/660)	70% (167/238)
Long passes
71% (34/48)	29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
85% (188/222)	52% (38/73)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.60	0.19
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
80% (12/15)	86% (19/22)
Duels won
53	43
Clearances Total
15	38
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.02	1.29
Goals prevented
0.02	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ceballos D. ↓, Endrick ↑,
62', Berenguer A. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
62', Djalo A. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
63', Nunez U. 🟨,
72', Gomez U. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
75', Asencio R. 🟨,
78', Modric L. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
78', Rodrygo ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
83', Asencio R. ↓, Lucas ↑,
86', Prados Diaz B. 🟨,
87', Boiro A. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Valverde F. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
64.7%

Draw
21.6%

Athletic Bilbao
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	4.47 ↑ (4.16)	6.93 ↑ (5.06)	3.5% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?

The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Real Madrid will win! (54 of 66 users predict this).

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
Real is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mbappe K. (Red Card) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Williams N. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Berchiche Y. (Calf Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Real won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:12 (average 1.4:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Real won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.6:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Athletic Bilbao?

Real Madrid has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Real Madrid?

Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

04.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 2:1

31.03.2024 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 2:0

12.08.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:2

04.06.2023 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:1

22.01.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:2

Latest results of Real Madrid

16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

17.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Glasgow Rangers 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	36	27	4	5	97:36	61	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	36	24	6	6	74:38	36	78
3	Atl. Madrid ✔	36	20	10	6	60:29	31	70
4	Ath Bilbao ✔	36	18	13	5	53:26	27	67
5	Villarreal	36	18	10	8	64:47	17	64
6	Betis	36	16	11	9	55:45	10	59
7	Celta Vigo	36	15	7	14	56:54	2	52
8	Rayo Vallecano	36	12	12	12	39:44	-5	48
9	Osasuna	36	11	15	10	45:51	-6	48
10	Mallorca	36	13	8	15	34:42	-8	47
11	Valencia	36	11	12	13	43:52	-9	45
12	Real Sociedad	36	12	7	17	32:42	-10	43
13	Girona	36	11	8	17	42:53	-11	41
14	Sevilla	36	10	11	15	40:49	-9	41
15	Getafe	36	10	9	17	31:36	-5	39
16	Espanyol	36	10	9	17	38:49	-11	39
17	Alaves	36	9	11	16	36:47	-11	38
18	Leganes	36	7	13	16	35:56	-21	34
19	Las Palmas ✔	36	8	8	20	40:58	-18	32
20	Valladolid ✔	36	4	4	28	26:86	-60	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atl. Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ath Bilbao is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 2, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	Disney+