Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

: LaLiga - Round 31
Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.69	1.56
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
80% (343/428)	77% (285/371)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.15	1.07
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
24	18
Through passes
0% (0/2)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
80% (343/428)	77% (285/371)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)	64% (52/81)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.55
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
79% (15/19)	61% (14/23)
Duels won
56	56
Clearances Total
9	25
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.07	2.15
Goals prevented
0.07	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Djalo A. 🟨,
36', Vivian D. 🟨,
37', Diaz P. (Pen),
37', 0 - 1, Ciss P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
46', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
50', Diaz P. 🟨,
57', Pacha 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Sancet O. (Pen),
59', Djalo A. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
59', Prados Diaz B. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
63', Diaz P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
63', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
70', de Frutos J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
73', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
75', Lopez U. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Ruiz de Galarreta I. (A),
84', Boiro A. 🟨,
85', Ciss P. ↓, de Tomas R. ↑,
85', Pacha ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
87', Williams I. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Sancet O. ⚽, Sannadi M. (A),

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
52.3%

Draw
29.1%

Rayo Vallecano
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

24.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.91)	5.16 ↓ (6.76)	4.2% (3.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4.
Athletic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Athletic is a favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Berchiche Y. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Athletic won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:15 (average 1.7:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Rayo Vallecano?

Athletic Bilbao has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Athletic Bilbao?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

01.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:2

25.05.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:1

02.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 4:0

05.03.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

17.09.2022 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:2

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

10.04.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia