Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano
Result
1:0
25/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 2
Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.30
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (254/333)84% (415/497)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.16
Total shots
116
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3113
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
76% (254/333)84% (415/497)
Long passes
49% (21/43)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)56% (49/87)
Crosses
25% (4/16)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.22
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1313
Tackles
71% (10/14)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.161.40
Goals prevented
0.160.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 23', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sannadi M. , Sancet O. ,
  • 55', Lopez U. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 55', Diaz P. , Perez F. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Sancet O. (Pen),
  • 67', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Prados Diaz B. ,
  • 69', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 79', Chavarria P. 🟨,
  • 79', Palazon I. , Camello S. ,
  • 79', de Frutos J. , Nteka R. ,
  • 79', Williams I. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 82', Chavarria P. , Trejo O. ,
  • 87', Berenguer A. , Vesga M. ,
  • 88', Williams N. , Gomez U. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
54.5%
Draw
27.2%
Rayo Vallecano
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 26.7% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.2% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.69)
    3.5
    (3.53)
    5.14
    (5.38)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (67 of 83 users predict this - 80.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.23%89.21%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 4.
    • Recent form of Athletic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Gomez U. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Valentin O. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    01.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    25.05.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    02.12.2023 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 4:0
    05.03.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
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