Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabağ Agdam: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam
Result
3:1
22/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.250.52
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (411/481)74% (247/335)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.250.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.56
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
514
Passes
85% (411/481)74% (247/335)
Long passes
59% (27/46)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
78% (137/176)62% (56/91)
Crosses
18% (4/22)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.24
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
145
Tackles
65% (17/26)58% (15/26)
Duels won
4754
Clearances
1322
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.561.86
Goals prevented
-0.44-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Leandro Andrade ,
  • 38', Williams I. , Berenguer A. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Guruzeta G. , Jauregizar M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Pedro Bicalho , Jankovic M. ,
  • 56', Leandro Andrade , Addai E. ,
  • 65', Gorosabel A. , Areso J. ,
  • 65', Rego A. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. ,
  • 65', Williams N. , Navarro R. ,
  • 67', Akhundzade N. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 67', Duran C. , Kashchuk O. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Navarro R. , Berenguer A. (A),
  • 79', Matheus Silva , Dani Bolt ,
  • 81', Sancet O. , Vesga M. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Guruzeta G. , Jauregizar M. (A),

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
68.6%
Draw
19.2%
Qarabağ Agdam
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.5% 18.9% 9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 15.1% 12%

Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.34)
5.18
(5.07)
7.91
(9.97)
-1.1%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 37 - 64.9%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 52.5%77.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Qarabağ (1.94) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
  • In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Qarabağ is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Athletic is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Qarabağ: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
  • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase
PlWDLDiffPts
1Arsenal550014:11315
2PSG540119:81112
3Bayern Munich540115:6912
4Inter540112:3912
5Real Madrid540112:5712
6Dortmund531117:11610
7Chelsea531112:6610
8Sporting CP531111:5610
9Manchester City531110:5510
10Atalanta53116:5110
11Newcastle530211:479
12Atl. Madrid530212:1029
13Liverpool530210:829
14Galatasaray53028:719
15PSV522113:858
16Tottenham522110:738
17Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
18Barcelona521212:1027
19Qarabag52128:9-17
20Napoli52126:9-37
21Marseille52038:626
22Juventus513110:1006
23Monaco51316:8-26
24Pafos51314:7-36
25Royale Union SG52035:12-76
26Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
27Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
28Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
29Eintracht Frankfurt51137:14-74
30FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
31Benfica51044:8-43
32Slavia Prague50322:8-63
33Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
34Villarreal50142:10-81
35Kairat Almaty60154:15-111
36Ajax50051:16-150

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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