Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao
Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 20
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.542.13
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
911
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
37
Passes
79% (373/473)78% (337/434)
Yellow cards
18
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.542.13
xG on target (xGOT)
3.643.83
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
911
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
1316
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1828
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1010
Passes
79% (373/473)78% (337/434)
Long passes
42% (31/74)38% (26/69)
Passes in final third
49% (38/78)69% (118/170)
Crosses
67% (4/6)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.73
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (11/19)45% (5/11)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
3714
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
96
xGOT faced
3.833.64
Goals prevented
1.830.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Darder S. (A),
  • 8', 1 - 1, Gomez U. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
  • 18', Kumbulla M. 🟨,
  • 40', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 42', Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽,
  • 45', 2 - 2, Williams N. ⚽, Gomez U. (A),
  • 45+5', Areso J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
  • 59', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
  • 71', Gomez U. 🟥,
  • 72', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
  • 72', Boiro A. 🟨,
  • 72', Lekue I. 🟨,
  • 73', Joseph M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
  • 73', Sancet O. 🟨,
  • 76', Areso J. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
  • 76', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Izeta ↑,
  • 83', Lato T. ↓, Mojica J. ↑,
  • 83', Virgili J. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
  • 90+3', Darder S. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Mallorca
25.3%		Draw
30.8%		Athletic Bilbao
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 30.9% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 31.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.7)    		 3.1 ↑
    (3.08)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.19)    		 5.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao?
    • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 16 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 28.2% – 60.6%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH +0.25 - Mallorca (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DC - Mallorca (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Athletic (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
    • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • Athletic could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Maffeo P. (Yellow Cards) Morlanes M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Serrano N. (Muscle Injury) Vesga M. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1
    28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0
    Latest results of Mallorca
    11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Mallorca - Girona 1:2 ✺
    19.12.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1 ✺
    16.12.2025 Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca 1:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺
    07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0 ✺
    03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺
    22.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol 1:2 ✺
    18.12.2025 Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona330012:2109
    2Real Madrid330010:289
    3Atl. Madrid32107:347
    4Alaves32105:147
    5Osasuna32103:127
    6Sevilla32016:516
    7Betis32014:5-16
    8Dep. A Coruna31205:325
    9Racing Santander31115:504
    10Levante31115:504
    11Real Sociedad41123:6-34
    12Espanyol31025:413
    13Ath Bilbao31023:5-23
    14Getafe31021:4-33
    15Villarreal30214:5-12
    16Celta Vigo40221:4-32
    17Valencia30121:4-31
    18Rayo Vallecano30124:8-41
    19Elche30123:9-61
    20Malaga30121:7-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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