Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	0.59
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Goal Attempts
8	9
Shots on Goal
2	2
Shots off Goal
5	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
13	6
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
6	13
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
27	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
15	13
Passes
81% (348/431)	75% (260/346)
Passes in the final third
66% (82/124)	44% (27/62)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	43% (6/14)
Tackles
60% (6/10)	50% (11/22)
Clearances Total
28	47
Interceptions
6	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Guruzeta G. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
54', Canales P. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Raillo A. ⚽, Darder S. (A),
57', Paredes A. ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Gorosabel A. (A),
59', Asano T. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
61', Valverde E. 🟨,
72', Darder S. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
72', Mascarell O. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
72', Copete J. 🟨,
78', Berenguer A. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
78', Boiro A. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
85', Muriqi V. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
87', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90+6', Raillo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
55.5%

Draw
27.3%

Mallorca
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

22%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.51)	3.53 ↓ (4.16)	5.55 ↓ (7.12)	4.2% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 48 - 85.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 6 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 76.5% – 94.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Athletic is a favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Ruiz de Galarreta I. (Yellow Cards) Vivian D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Mallorca: Rodriguez D. (Leg Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Athletic won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.3:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:3 (average 2:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Mallorca?

Athletic Bilbao has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Athletic Bilbao?

Mallorca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:

28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1

02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0

03.09.2023 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0

01.05.2023 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 1:1

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid 7:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Girona 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Mallorca

02.03.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Sevilla - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Mallorca - Las Palmas 3:1 ✺

10.02.2025 Mallorca - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Mallorca 2:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Daystar Pacific, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia