Atalanta vs Como: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Atalanta - Como
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
Atalanta - Como - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.31
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
85% (391/458)85% (387/456)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.14
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3723
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
85% (391/458)85% (387/456)
Long passes
55% (24/44)42% (13/31)
Passes in final third
72% (82/114)64% (52/81)
Crosses
10% (2/20)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.36
Throw-ins
127
Fouls
1019
Tackles
45% (9/20)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.140.67
Goals prevented
0.14-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Samardzic L. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Perrone M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Douvikas A. , Morata A. ,
  • 58', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
  • 62', Samardzic L. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 69', Vojvoda M. , Valle A. ,
  • 69', Baturina M. , Caqueret M. ,
  • 74', Lookman A. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 74', Ederson , Musah Y. ,
  • 74', Sulemana K. , Maldini D. ,
  • 83', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 85', Smolcic I. 🟨,
  • 85', Smolcic I. , Posch S. ,
  • 89', Addai J. 🟨,
  • 89', Da Cunha L. , Kempf M. O. ,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
41.7%
Draw
28.4%
Como
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.2% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 29.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atalanta - Como Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.02)
    3.38
    (3.55)
    3.22
    (3.86)
    4.2%
    (3.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 30 - 58.8%). Como will win (votes: 7 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 27.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 45.3%72.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • Atalanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Como's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Atalanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Muscle Injury) De Roon M. (Red Card) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Kossounou O. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Zalewski N. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Roberto S. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez J. (Red Card) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Muscle Injury) Hien I. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Como were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Como - Atalanta 1:2
    24.09.2024 Atalanta - Como 2:3
    Latest results of Atalanta
    30.09.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 2:1
    27.09.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 1:1
    21.09.2025 Torino - Atalanta 0:3
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    Latest results of Como
    27.09.2025 Como - Cremonese 1:1
    24.09.2025 Como - Sassuolo 3:0
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Como?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
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    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFranceDAZN France
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    kuwaitKuwaitShasha
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 3
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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