Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

: Women’s Super League - Round 22
Referee: Benn L. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	1.53
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
80% (355/442)	79% (354/447)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.61	0.48
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
31	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
80% (355/442)	79% (354/447)
Long passes
57% (27/47)	37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)	70% (91/130)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	1.58
Throw-ins
18	23
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
63% (12/19)	71% (17/24)
Duels won
41	53
Clearances
27	21
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.48	2.61
Goals prevented
-0.45	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Salmon E. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
42', Agyemang M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Daly R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Agyemang M. ↓, McLauchlan R. ↑,
47', Daly R. 🟨,
61', Daly R. ↓, Nobbs J. ↑,
61', Kearns M. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
61', Vilamala B. ↓, Kirby F. ↑,
72', Robinson K. ↓, Mayling S. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Pacheco M. ⚽, Mayling S. (A),
80', Auee M. ↓, Bremer P. ↑,
80', Hayes C. ↓, Stefanovic D. ↑,
80', Cankovic J. ↓, Rayner R. ↑,
81', Salmon E. ↓, Gabi Nunes ↑,
81', Patten A. ↓, Corsie R. ↑,
90+2', Stefanovic D. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Parris N. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
41.9%

Draw
25.3%

Brighton & Hove Albion
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)	8.7% (11.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4.
Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Brighton & Hove has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Gabi Nunes (Lower Back Injury) Staniforth L. (Ankle Injury) Tomas P. (Hip Injury)
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Losada V. (Injury)
There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Haley M. (Injury) Loeck M. (Hand Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brighton & Hove Albion?

Aston Villa has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:

08.02.2025 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:2

05.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 4:2

04.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:1

07.02.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 1:2

17.12.2023 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0

Latest results of Aston Villa

04.05.2025 West Ham - Aston Villa 2:3 ✺

30.04.2025 Aston Villa - Arsenal LFC 5:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 2:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Liverpool LFC - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺

23.03.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion

05.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal LFC 4:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool LFC 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 1:2 ✺

23.03.2025 Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 3:2 ✺

English WSL Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelsea W ✔	22	19	3	0	56:13	43	60
2	Arsenal W ✔	22	15	3	4	62:26	36	48
3	Manchester Utd W ✔	22	13	5	4	41:16	25	44
4	Manchester City W	22	13	4	5	49:28	21	43
5	Brighton W	22	8	4	10	35:41	-6	28
6	Aston Villa W	22	7	4	11	32:44	-12	25
7	Liverpool W	22	7	4	11	22:37	-15	25
8	Everton W	22	6	6	10	24:32	-8	24
9	West Ham W	22	6	5	11	36:41	-5	23
10	Leicester W	22	5	5	12	21:37	-16	20
11	Tottenham W	22	5	5	12	26:44	-18	20
12	Crystal Palace W ✔	22	2	4	16	20:65	-45	10

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Womenu2019s Championship

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chelsea W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
Arsenal W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
Manchester Utd W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification )
Crystal Palace W is Relegated to Womenu2019s Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion?

It is being streamed on channel


Australia	Optus Sport