Astana vs Vitoria Guimarães: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Astana - Vitoria Guimarães
Result
1:1
28/11/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)
Astana - Vitoria Guimarães - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.602.25
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
634
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
218
Blocked Shots
09
Free Kicks
1112
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2121
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
54
Total Passes
301537
Completed Passes
214456
Crosses Completed
310
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Kalaica B. , Bartolec K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Tiago Silva 🟨,
  • 64', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
  • 64', Miguel Maga , Mendes J. ,
  • 64', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 64', Mendes J. , Bica ,
  • 77', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 79', Tiago Silva , Handel T. ,
  • 79', Kaio Cesar , Arcanjo T. ,
  • 81', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 82', Geoffrey C. , Karimov R. ,
  • 86', Gripshi N. , Osei B. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. , Arcanjo T. (A),
  • 90', Condric J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Handel T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ebong M. , Marochkin A. ,
  • 90+4', Bartolec K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Amanovic A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mendes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Astana
23.7%
Draw
27.6%
Vitoria Guimarães
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 26.1% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 25.4% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Astana - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (4.2)
    3.39
    (3.5)
    1.94
    (1.75)
    6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Astana - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Guimarães will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 63.2%91%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Astana
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    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
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