Tobol Kostanay vs Astana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Kazakh Premier League Tobol Kostanay - Astana
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 20
Tobol Kostanay - Astana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Tobol Kostanay
35.1%
Draw
27.1%
Astana
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 29.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 29.9% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Tobol Kostanay - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.66)
    3.4
    (3.21)
    2.43
    (2.66)
    8.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 3.
    • Tobol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Astana were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Astana - Tobol Kostanay 1:3
    03.11.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 1:0
    08.05.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 1:0
    21.04.2024 Astana - Tobol Kostanay 2:2
    16.09.2023 Astana - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Latest results of Astana
    07.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Astana 3:1
    03.08.2025 Astana - Kaisar Postponed
    31.07.2025 Zimbru Chişinău - Astana 0:2
    24.07.2025 Astana - Zimbru Chişinău 1:1
    18.07.2025 Astana - Turan Turkistan 7:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana19134245:162943
    2Kairat Almaty20134341:172443
    3Tobol19125235:181741
    4Aktobe20113629:171236
    5Yelimay Semey21105631:22935
    6Okzhetpes2195730:27332
    7Zhenis20610423:17628
    8Ordabasy2077624:19528
    9Kyzylzhar2149821:27-621
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan2148915:31-1620
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda2039819:32-1318
    12Turan21431415:39-2415
    13Ulytau20351211:30-1914
    14Atyrau21251413:40-2711

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League

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