Result
12/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Ascoli
70.1% | Draw
21.4% | Pontedera
8.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Pontedera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.65) |
4.31 ↑
(3.65) |
9.36 ↑
(4.75) |
8.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1.
- Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pontedera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ascoli is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Pontedera?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Ascoli?
Pontedera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Pontedera were as follows:
22.03.2025
Pontedera
-
Ascoli
1:1
10.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Pontedera
1:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:1 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Ternana | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Gubbio | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Forli | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Pianese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Carpi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Pineto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Livorno | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Torres | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Bra | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 19 | Perugia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Ascoli - Pontedera?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
