Result
0:2
05/07/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (25/36) | 87% (34/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/4 | 2/2 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 177 km/h | 178 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 145 km/h | 143 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 31% (11/36) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 40% (12/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/2 | 2/4 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (43/66) | 77% (47/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (14/61) | 35% (23/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (57/127) | 55% (70/127) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
|---|
| 951 | 990 |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
66.7% | Naomi Osaka
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.44) |
|
2.88 ↑
(2.81) |
4.6%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka?
- Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). Osaka will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 36.5% – 69.1%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 22 Games - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Osaka is ranked WTA: 14.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sabalenka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Naomi Osaka?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naomi Osaka won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Naomi Osaka has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka were as follows:
01.06.2026
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Naomi Osaka
2:0
27.04.2026
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Naomi Osaka
2:1
10.03.2026
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Naomi Osaka
2:0
06.12.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Naomi Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Naomi Osaka
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kostovic T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Oliynykova O. | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ostapenko J. | Dart H. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ruzic A. | Semenistaja D. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Fernandez L. (22) | Tjen J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Xu M. (WC) | Kasatkina D. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gasanova A. (Q) | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jacquemot E. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Muchova K. (10) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Andreescu B. (Q) | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Parks A. | Dudeney A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sawangkaew M. (Q) | Chwalinska M. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Siniakova K. (32) | Zheng Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stearns P. | Bartunkova N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Krejcikova B. | Klugman H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Linette M. | Andreeva M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (4) | Vidmanova D. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Sorribes Tormo S. | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Yastremska D. | Ito A. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Potapova A. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Alexandrova E. (18) | Udvardy P. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Tararudee L. | Tagger L. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Putintseva Y. | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Cristian J. | Jovic I. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Bencic B. (11) | Stojsavljevic M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Wang Xin. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Jones F. | Parry D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Frech M. | Kalinskaya A. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Li A. (28) | Sonmez Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Liu C. (Q) | Vandewinkel H. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Sierra S. | Bondar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Korpatsch T. | Gauff C. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Svitolina E. (8) | Snigur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 34 | Erjavec V. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Tomljanovic A. | Bolkvadze M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Krueger A. (Q) | Vekic D. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 37 | Navarro E. (23) | Badosa P. | 2 : 1 |
| 38 | Selekhmeteva O. | Kraus S. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Starodubtseva Y. | Blinkova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Podoroska N. | Kostyuk M. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Paolini J. (13) | Montgomery R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Shymanovich I. (Q) | Golubic V. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Kalinina A. | Rakhimova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Sakkari M. | Tauson C. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 45 | Eala A. (29) | Zarazua R. | 2 : 0 |
| 46 | Williams S. (WC) | Joint M. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Valentova T. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Townsend T. | Swiatek I. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 49 | Anisimova A. (6) | Gjorcheska L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Marcinko P. | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Begu I. | Swan K. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Day K. (Q) | Keys M. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Cirstea S. (17) | Bejlek S. | 2 : 0 |
| 54 | Birrell K. | Korneeva A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Osorio C. | Waltert S. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Seidel E. | Noskova L. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Shnaider D. (15) | Lys E. | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | Kudermetova P. (Q) | Samsonova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Boulter K. | Grant T. C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Gibson T. | Bouzkova M. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 61 | Mertens E. (25) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Haddad Maia B. | Timofeeva M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Ruse G. | McNally C. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Boisson L. | Rybakina E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ostapenko J. | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tjen J. | Kasatkina D. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gasanova A. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Muchova K. (10) | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Parks A. | Sawangkaew M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Siniakova K. (32) | Bartunkova N. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Krejcikova B. | Andreeva M. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (4) | Sorribes Tormo S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Yastremska D. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Alexandrova E. (18) | Tararudee L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Maria T. | Jovic I. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bencic B. (11) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Parry D. | Kalinskaya A. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Sonmez Z. | Liu C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Sierra S. | Gauff C. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Snigur D. | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Bolkvadze M. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Navarro E. (23) | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Blinkova A. | Kostyuk M. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Paolini J. (13) | Golubic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Rakhimova K. | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Eala A. (29) | Joint M. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Pliskova Ka. | Swiatek I. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Anisimova A. (6) | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Swan K. | Keys M. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cirstea S. (17) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Osorio C. | Noskova L. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Shnaider D. (15) | Samsonova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Grant T. C. | Bouzkova M. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Mertens E. (25) | Timofeeva M. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | McNally C. | Rybakina E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Ostapenko J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kasatkina D. | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Muchova K. (10) | Sawangkaew M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bartunkova N. | Krejcikova B. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (4) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Alexandrova E. (18) | Jovic I. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Bencic B. (11) | Kalinskaya A. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Liu C. | Gauff C. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Snigur D. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Navarro E. (23) | Kostyuk M. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Paolini J. (13) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Eala A. (29) | Swiatek I. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Anisimova A. (6) | Keys M. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Cirstea S. (17) | Noskova L. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Samsonova L. | Bouzkova M. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Mertens E. (25) | Rybakina E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Muchova K. (10) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (4) | Jovic I. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bencic B. (11) | Gauff C. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Krueger A. | Kostyuk M. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Paolini J. (13) | Eala A. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Keys M. (26) | Noskova L. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bouzkova M. (21) | Mertens E. (25) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Osaka N. (14) | Muchova K. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (4) | Gauff C. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kostyuk M. (12) | Paolini J. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Noskova L. (9) | Mertens E. (25) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Muchova K. (10) | Gauff C. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (12) | Noskova L. (9) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Muchova K. (10) | Noskova L. (9) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 France | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Hungary | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Italy | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Poland | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Romania | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Sweden | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Turkey | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Eurosport 2 |
