Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis WTA US Open Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez
Result
2:0
29/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals
Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
63%67%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (41/52)73% (29/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (15/30)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)67% (2/3)
Average 1st Serve Speed
169 km/h154 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
142 km/h139 km/h
1st Return Points Won
28% (11/40)21% (11/52)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (10/20)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)0% (0/5)
Winners
2722
Unforced Errors
1812
Net Points Won
85% (11/13)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
68% (57/84)65% (39/60)
Return Points Won
35% (21/60)32% (27/84)
Total Points Won
54% (78/144)46% (66/144)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)
Distance Covered (metres)
10841252

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
82.5%
Leylah Annie Fernandez
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.3% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.15
    (1.14)

    5.4
    (4.66)
    5.2%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Leylah Annie Fernandez?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 30.
    • Sabalenka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Fernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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