Result
2:1
20/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 73% (48/66) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 42% (18/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (18/66) | 48% (31/65) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 49% (30/61) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (71/126) | 61% (66/109) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (43/109) | 44% (55/126) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (114/235) | 51% (121/235) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 35% (6/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 55% (18/33) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
59.1% | Elena Rybakina
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.5) |
|
2.34 ↓
(2.64) |
4.8%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Rybakina will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 45.2% – 82.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 3 - 50%). Rybakina (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 11.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sabalenka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Elena Rybakina?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Elena Rybakina has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
06.11.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
02.05.2024
Elena Rybakina
-
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
06.01.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
22.12.2023
Elena Rybakina
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:1
03.11.2023
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
2:1
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kenin S. (Q) | Masarova R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tomova V. (Q) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. | Krueger A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Dolehide C. (Q) | Jabeur O. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shnaider D. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vondrousova M. | Keys M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Frech M. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Anisimova A. | Andreescu B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Osaka N. (WC) | Samsonova L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Badosa P. (8) | Lys E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (Q) | Kasatkina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Masarova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Rybakina E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (4) | Jabeur O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shnaider D. | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Frech M. | Anisimova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Samsonova L. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Badosa P. (8) | Navarro E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jabeur O. | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Anisimova A. | Samsonova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Badosa P. (RET.) (8) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Vondrousova M. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
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