Real Madrid vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Arsenal
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Real Madrid - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.502.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.92
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
3422
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
86% (371/431)76% (178/233)
Long passes
36% (13/36)33% (10/30)
Passes in final third
78% (107/137)66% (60/91)
Crosses
16% (7/43)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.85
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (18/24)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5447
Clearances Total
1237
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.921.38
Goals prevented
-0.080.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Alaba D. 🟨,
  • 11', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 13', Saka B. (Pen),
  • 36', Raya D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Rodrygo , Ceballos D. ,
  • 61', Alaba D. , Garcia F. ,
  • 61', Lucas , Endrick ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Saka B. , Merino M. (A),
  • 67', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ,
  • 74', Asencio R. , Modric L. ,
  • 75', Mbappe K. , Diaz B. ,
  • 77', Saka B. , Trossard L. ,
  • 85', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 85', Partey T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. , Merino M. (A),
  • 90+5', Timber J. , White B. ,
  • 90+5', Martinelli G. , Tierney K. ,
  • 90+5', Rice D. , Zinchenko O. ,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/5n8mmtw7

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
54.1%
Draw
23.3%
Arsenal
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.5% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.
  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Madrid - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.23)
    4.15
    (3.3)
    4.25
    (3.15)
    3.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Arsenal?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Real Madrid will win! (136 of 153 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • Recent matches Real is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arsenal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Red Card) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Lunin A. (Calf Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Arsenal were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2
    Latest results of Arsenal
    12.04.2025 Arsenal - Brentford 1:1
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Everton - Arsenal 1:1
    01.04.2025 Arsenal - Fulham 2:1
    16.03.2025 Arsenal - Chelsea 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Juventus (20)PSV (14)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    2Arsenal (3)Bye
    3Manchester City (22)Real Madrid (11)1 : 3, 2 : 3
    4Atl. Madrid (5)Bye
    5Brest (18)PSG (15)0 : 7, 0 : 3
    6Liverpool (1)Bye
    7Club Brugge KV (24)Atalanta (9)3 : 1, 2 : 1
    8Aston Villa (8)Bye
    9Monaco (17)Benfica (16)3 : 3, 0 : 1
    10Barcelona (2)Bye
    11Sporting CP (23)Dortmund (10)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    12Lille (7)Bye
    13Celtic (21)Bayern Munich (12)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    14Bayer Leverkusen (6)Bye
    15Feyenoord (19)AC Milan (13)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    16Inter (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSV (14)Arsenal (3)2 : 2, 1 : 7
    2Real Madrid (11)Atl. Madrid (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    3PSG (15)Liverpool (1)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    4Club Brugge KV (24)Aston Villa (8)0 : 3, 1 : 3
    5Benfica (16)Barcelona (2)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    6Dortmund (10)Lille (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Bayern Munich (12)Bayer Leverkusen (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0
    8Feyenoord (19)Inter (4)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Arsenal (3)Real Madrid (11)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    2PSG (15)Aston Villa (8)2 : 3, 3 : 1
    3Barcelona (2)Dortmund (10)1 : 3, 4 : 0
    4Bayern Munich (12)Inter (4)2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Arsenal (3)PSG (15)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Barcelona (2)Inter (4)3 : 4, 3 : 3

    Final
    1PSG (15)Inter (4)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Arena Asia
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Sport Austria 1
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
    chileChileESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Sports 1
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Sport Premium
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV5
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    surinameSurinameATV Suriname
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
    worldWorldDisney+, VIX App
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