Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal
Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.562.13
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
917
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Long passes
33% (17/51)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
71% (48/68)75% (126/169)
Crosses
0% (0/6)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.60
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
1111
Tackles
43% (13/30)44% (7/16)
Duels won
6749
Clearances
458
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.133.56
Goals prevented
1.131.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 26', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ruiz F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
  • 68', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 69', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 69', Vitinha (Pen),
  • 70', Barcola B. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Hakimi A. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 74', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Saka B. ⚽,
  • 83', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 86', Calafiori R. 🟨,
  • 86', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
  • 86', Saka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Mendes N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain 42.9%Draw 27.1%Arsenal 30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Paris Saint-Germain 45.3%Draw 26.3%Arsenal 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Paris Saint-Germain 47.8%Draw 27.8%Arsenal 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.68)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.6%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • PSG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    01.10.2024 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3 ✺
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Juventus (20)PSV (14)1 : 3, 2 : 1
    2Arsenal (3)Bye
    3Manchester City (22)Real Madrid (11)1 : 3, 2 : 3
    4Atl. Madrid (5)Bye
    5Brest (18)PSG (15)0 : 7, 0 : 3
    6Liverpool (1)Bye
    7Club Brugge KV (24)Atalanta (9)3 : 1, 2 : 1
    8Aston Villa (8)Bye
    9Monaco (17)Benfica (16)3 : 3, 0 : 1
    10Barcelona (2)Bye
    11Sporting CP (23)Dortmund (10)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    12Lille (7)Bye
    13Celtic (21)Bayern Munich (12)1 : 1, 1 : 2
    14Bayer Leverkusen (6)Bye
    15Feyenoord (19)AC Milan (13)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    16Inter (4)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSV (14)Arsenal (3)2 : 2, 1 : 7
    2Real Madrid (11)Atl. Madrid (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1
    3PSG (15)Liverpool (1)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    4Club Brugge KV (24)Aston Villa (8)0 : 3, 1 : 3
    5Benfica (16)Barcelona (2)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    6Dortmund (10)Lille (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    7Bayern Munich (12)Bayer Leverkusen (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0
    8Feyenoord (19)Inter (4)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Arsenal (3)Real Madrid (11)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    2PSG (15)Aston Villa (8)2 : 3, 3 : 1
    3Barcelona (2)Dortmund (10)1 : 3, 4 : 0
    4Bayern Munich (12)Inter (4)2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Arsenal (3)PSG (15)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Barcelona (2)Inter (4)3 : 4, 3 : 3

    Final
    1PSG (15)Inter (4)
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